


Volume 20 No 22 (2022)
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A Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Onset and Progression-Towards Early Detection of Chronic Diseases
Vaibhav Kumar , Bhagwinder Singh , Shilpi Sharma , Dolly Sharma
Abstract
The paper suggests utilizing data mining and machine learning approaches to diagnose chronic
diseases due to their cost-effectiveness and ability to analyse large amounts of patient data to
identify patterns that may not be detectable by human experts. This enables early detection of
diseases, which can improve patient outcomes. Using machine learning techniques can facilitate
delivery for customized medical care to individual patients. This approach allows healthcare
providers to develop treatment plans that are tailored to the specific needs and circumstances of
each patient, resulting in improved outcomes.In modern times, people are exposed to
environmental conditions and adopt lifestyles that make them susceptible to various chronic
illnesses. Early detection of illness is crucial, but accurate prediction based solely on symptoms is
challenging for doctors. Data mining can aid in disease prediction by finding hidden patterns in the
vast amount of medical data generated each year. With the increasing amount of medical data
available, accurate analysis can greatly benefit patient care. We propose a healthcare model that
uses mining algorithms such as K nearest neighbours, Decision Trees and Logistic Regression, along
with a dataset of disease symptoms. Each model also takes into account a person's lifestyle habits
and medical check-up information for accurate disease prediction. Logistic Regression has a
prediction accuracy of 95.6% for Heart disease, which is higher than the accuracy of Naive Bayes
algorithm. On the other hand, the Decision Tree algorithm has an accuracy of 99% for predicting
patients with thyroid disease. It is noteworthy that among patients who do not have any thyroid
problems, Logistic Regression has an accuracy of 81.16% in predicting those with hyperthyroidism or
hypothyroidism.
Keywords
Chronic Disease, Machine Learning, Logistic Regression, Decision Tree
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