Volume 20 No 8 (2022)
Download PDF
Nature Inspired Load forecasting model based on Neural Network and Cuckoo Search Optimization
Harveen Kaur , Sachin Ahuja
Abstract
In the last few years, predicting electricity consumption has become one of the most essential sectors
for both electric utility centers and customers. Anticipating power usage is critical for effective
management decisions and company strategies. This research presents an effective and highly accurate
hybrid electricity consumption prediction model in which Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT),
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Cuckoo Search
(CS) optimization technique is utilized. The reduction in errors generated in electricity consumption
predictions and an increase in its accuracy is the primary aim of the suggested approach. The proposed
work decomposed the data belonging to Punjab State Power Corporation Limited (PSPCL) using the DWT
approach in two levels; these levels signify the lowest and the highest level of energy consumption.
After this, ARIMA model implementation was performed on the entire decomposed data for attaining
data of Time Series. Further, the data is combined using the Inverse Discrete Wavelet Transform (IDWT),
which is improved as well with the use of a nature-inspired CSA approach. The developed model is
trained with the implementation of the ANN technique that aids in estimating future electricity
utilization using input layers to fed them with the enhanced data. MATLAB software was utilized for
validating the performance of the developed approach. The outcomes obtained showcased our hybrid
approach is outperforming other similar models in terms of MAP, MAPE, and accuracy.
Keywords
Load forecasting, Electricity Consumption, ARIMA, Cuckoo search Optimization, DWT, ANN
Copyright
Copyright © Neuroquantology
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Articles published in the Neuroquantology are available under Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives Licence (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0). Authors retain copyright in their work and grant IJECSE right of first publication under CC BY-NC-ND 4.0. Users have the right to read, download, copy, distribute, print, search, or link to the full texts of articles in this journal, and to use them for any other lawful purpose.