Volume 19 No 1 (2021)
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PREDICTION OF ELECTIONS ON THE BASIS OF TWITTER ACTIVITIES
Shweta Kumari
Abstract
The growing integration of social media platforms into the fabric of political discourse has prompted an increased interest in utilizing these platforms for predicting election outcomes. This paper presents a detailed investigation into the predictive potential of Twitter activities as a reflection of public sentiment and opinion. Through a comprehensive analysis of Twitter data, encompassing sentiment, engagement, and topical trends, we aim to develop a model that can forecast election results. Our study encompasses data collection, preprocessing, feature extraction, and the application of machine learning methodologies to distill meaningful insights from the vast pool of Twitter conversations surrounding electoral events.
The literature review highlights the evolving landscape of research in this domain, emphasizing existing methodologies, challenges faced, and key findings. We delve into the nuances of collecting and preprocessing Twitter data, addressing issues such as spam, retweets, and data quality. Feature extraction encompasses a multifaceted approach, including sentiment analysis, hashtag usage patterns, and user engagement metrics, providing a comprehensive foundation for our predictive model.
The methodology section details the specific machine learning or statistical techniques employed, with a focus on validation methods to ensure the reliability of our predictions. The results and discussion section presents the accuracy metrics of our model, drawing comparisons with previous studies and revealing noteworthy insights derived from Twitter data analysis. Challenges and limitations, such as biases and data constraints, are candidly discussed to provide a nuanced perspective on the reliability of the predictions.
Keywords
The growing integration of social media platforms into the fabric of political discourse has prompted an increased interest in utilizing these platforms for predicting election outcomes.
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