


Volume 20 No 12 (2022)
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Perspective of Artificial Intelligent Performance Prediction Model Student Analysis of Bakti Nusantara Institute of Technology and Business - IBN
Agus Suryana, Fauzi, Eka Ridhawati, Elisabet Yunaeti Anggraeni, Sucipto
Abstract
Educational data mining has received considerable attention in an effort to improve the quality of
learning. Many data mining techniques have been proposed to extract the hidden knowledge from
educational data. The extracted knowledge helps institutions to improve their respective methods
and learning processes of their teaching and learning activities. All these improvements lead to an
increase in the performance of students and with efforts to improve the quality of better learning
output. In this study, the authors propose a new student performance prediction model based on
data mining techniques with new data attribute behavior features, called student's behavioral
features. These types of features are related to learner interactivity with the e-learning management
system. The performance of the student predictive model is avoided by the classifier set, namely;
Neural Networks, Naive Bayesian and Decision Trees. In addition, the authors apply the ensemble
method to improve the performance of this classifier. The author uses Bagging, Boosting and
Random Forest (RF), which is a common ensemble method used in the literature. The results
obtained reveal that there is a strong relationship between learner behavior and academic
achievement of the heirs. The accuracy of the proposed model using behavioral features is achieved
up to 22.5% A 1% improvement compared to the results when removing such features and reaches
up to 25% An 8% increase in accuracy using ensemble methods. By testing the model using
newcomer students, more than 80% accuracy was achieved.
Keywords
Performance Analysis, IBN Student Prediction Model, Data Mining, ensemble method
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