Volume 13 No 3 (2015)
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Quantum Decision-making in Newcomb’s Problem: Effect of Reward Size
Nobuye Ishibashi-Ohmura, Taiki Takahashi
Abstract
This study experimentally examined people’s decision making in the Newcomb’s problem. We observed that
Savage’s sure-thing principle and Kolmogorovian law of probability was violated. Also, the degree of the
violation increased as the reward size increased. By adopting quantum decision theory, we further quantified
interference effect as a quantum phase factor. The quantum phase also depended on the reward size; i.e., it
increased as the reward size in the unknown box in the Newcomb’s problem increased. Future directions in the
application of the present theory to studies in quantum decision theory and neuroeconomics are discussed
Keywords
uncertainty, Newcomb’s paradox, quantum decision theory, risk
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